FR 2024-29263

Overview

Title

Change in Discount Rate for Water Resources Planning

Agencies

ELI5 AI

The government has decided that when they plan how to use water and land, they will use a new number, 3%, to help them figure out the costs and benefits. This number used to be 2.75%, and it helps them decide how much things will cost in the future.

Summary AI

The Bureau of Reclamation has announced a new interest rate of 3.00% for fiscal year 2025, to be used by federal agencies in planning and evaluating water and land resources. This rate, which is higher than the previous year's rate of 2.75%, reflects changes based on the average yield of long-term U.S. Treasury securities. All government agencies must apply this rate for calculating future benefits and costs in such planning efforts. This change ensures consistency with federal rules that set limits on rate changes from year to year.

Abstract

The Bureau of Reclamation is announcing the interest rate to be used by Federal agencies in the formulation and evaluation of plans for water and related land resources is 3.00 percent for fiscal year 2025.

Type: Notice
Citation: 89 FR 100533
Document #: 2024-29263
Date:
Volume: 89
Pages: 100533-100534

AnalysisAI

The recent notification from the Bureau of Reclamation, as seen in the Federal Register, announces a change in the interest or discount rate that federal agencies will use when planning and evaluating water and related land resources. For fiscal year 2025, this rate is set at 3.00%, reflecting a modest increase from the previous year's rate of 2.75%.

General Overview

This notice is a procedural update required by federal laws, primarily the Water Resources Planning Act of 1965 and the Water Resources Development Act of 1974. These acts mandate the annual determination of a discount rate used during federal project evaluations involving water resources. The discount rate is used to convert future financial benefits and costs into present values, ensuring that long-term projects are assessed accurately from a financial perspective, balancing future profits or costs against current spending.

Significant Issues and Concerns

While the document succinctly communicates the new discount rate, it leaves several questions unanswered. Firstly, it does not transparently address the potential economic implications or consequences that might arise from changing the discount rate from 2.75% to 3.00%. Individuals seeking to understand how this change might impact federal project funding or prioritization might find the document lacking.

Additionally, the technical nature of the explanation—referring to concepts like "interest-bearing marketable securities" and "average yield"—might be challenging for those without a financial background. This could pose a barrier to understanding for the general public trying to grasp why or how the rate is determined.

Broad Impact on the Public

On a broader scale, the change in the discount rate could subtly impact water resource project planning across the country. Since the discount rate affects how future project costs and benefits are evaluated, a higher rate might influence the viability or scope of projects that federal agencies undertake. However, the document does not elaborate on this angle, which limits public insight into specific changes taxpayers or beneficiaries might observe.

Impact on Specific Stakeholders

Stakeholders such as state and local governments, contractors, and communities dependent on federal water projects might see both positive and negative implications. The increase from 2.75% to 3.00% aims to keep the evaluation method consistent with economic realities, given the average yield on long-term U.S. Treasury securities. For contractors and agencies, this might mean recalibrating economic models for proposals or ongoing projects. Communities awaiting water infrastructure developments could see shifts in project timelines or prioritizations based on new cost evaluations.

On the flip side, these specific impacts aren't detailed in the document, missing an opportunity to assure stakeholders of how their interests align with federal goals or to prepare them for any adaptive measures they might need to take.

In conclusion, while the document fulfills its purpose of announcing policy changes, clearer communication about the practical impacts and implications of such changes could enhance understanding and stakeholder preparation. This would be particularly beneficial in fostering a more informed dialogue about the role and strategy of federal water resource planning.

Issues

  • • The document does not specify the exact economic implications or consequences of changing the discount rate to 3.00 percent, leaving the reader unclear about the specific impact on Federal projects or funding.

  • • The explanation of how the discount rate is calculated, mentioning complex financial terms such as 'interest-bearing marketable securities' and 'average yield,' might be difficult for a layperson to understand.

  • • The document lacks a detailed explanation of how the change in discount rate from 2.75 percent to 3.00 percent would affect existing or future water resource projects, which can lead to ambiguity in understanding the policy's direct implications.

  • • No specific examples are provided to illustrate the impact of the discount rate change on specific projects or regions, which might make it harder for stakeholders to assess its effects.

Statistics

Size

Pages: 2
Words: 503
Sentences: 15
Entities: 59

Language

Nouns: 161
Verbs: 28
Adjectives: 30
Adverbs: 3
Numbers: 50

Complexity

Average Token Length:
4.59
Average Sentence Length:
33.53
Token Entropy:
4.90
Readability (ARI):
20.45

Reading Time

about a minute or two